NOAA sees 81% odds of a historically strong El Nino by fall
Why it matters: A stronger El Nino can shift global rainfall, raise temperatures and suppress Atlantic hurricanes through winter.
Subject
#Noaa
NOAA declares El Niño, raising risk of global heat extremes
What's new: NOAA sees a 63% chance of a very strong event by winter, which could amplify heat, crop losses and weather shocks into 2027.
NOAA flags El Nino as global heat risks rise into late 2026
Why it matters: Forecasters see a 63% chance of a very strong event by November-January, raising risks of drought, crop losses and higher food prices.